Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

ATP Shangai - Masters (China), Hard. Friday, October 9, 2026, 02:40.

Updated

Tommy Paul beat Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-2, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Tommy Paul leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Paul is 6-4 in their last 10, Vallejo 6-4.

Result: Tommy Paul beat Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-2, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Tommy Paul a 86% favorite. At -222 the sportsbook implies 69% for Tommy Paul, 17 points below the model's 86%.

Tommy Paul -222
Model
86%
Book
69%

Model minus book: +17 pts

Model
14%
Book
36%

Model minus book: -22 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tommy Paul at -222 · Model track record

Player comparison

Tommy PaulAdolfo Daniel Vallejo
Tennis Gauge rating69676857
Tour rankATP #7ATP #77
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days0-16-3
Current streak2 Wins2 Losses
Season record47-2256-27
UTR15.9715.47
Elo (52 weeks)19511711
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Tommy Paul leads 3-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
10.10.2026Tommy Paul6-2, 6-2China Shangai - Masters
18.08.2026Tommy Paul3-6, 6-3, 6-4USA Cincinnati
02.04.2026Tommy Paul3-6, 6-4, 6-4USA Houston

Recent form

Tommy Paul, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Luciano Darderi W6-1, 6-1
27.10.2026Andrey Rublev W7-5, 6-2
24.10.2026Taylor Fritz L6-3, 7-5
23.10.2026Corentin Moutet W6-4, 3-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Daniil Medvedev L6-3, 1-6, 6-3
16.10.2026Daniil Medvedev L6-3, 1-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Zizou Bergs W7-6, 6-4
12.10.2026Valentin Vacherot W6-4, 6-2
10.10.2026Adolfo Daniel Vallejo W6-2, 6-2
30.09.2026Alejandro Tabilo L6-1, 6-2

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Lorenzo Sonego L6-2, 3-6, 6-3
10.10.2026Tommy Paul L6-2, 6-2
08.10.2026Valentin Royer W6-3, 6-1
04.10.2026Jiri Lehecka L6-1, 6-1
03.10.2026Matteo Berrettini W7-6, 6-1
01.10.2026Rafael Jodar W6-1, 6-3
29.09.2026Jaime Faria W6-4, 5-7, 7-5
28.09.2026Taro Daniel W6-3, 6-2
26.09.2026Coleman Wong L7-6, 4-6, 6-3
24.09.2026Jie Cui W6-1, 6-7, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTommy PaulAdolfo Daniel Vallejo
Alejandro Tabilo 0-1
L 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 1-6, 6-1
Botic Van De Zandschulp 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
1-1
L 6-2, 6-0, W 4-6, 6-3, 7-6
Coleman Wong 1-0
W 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, 6-3
0-1
L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3
Flavio Cobolli 0-1
L 2-6, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Ignacio Buse 0-1
L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3
1-0
W 5-7, 7-5, 7-6
Learner Tien 1-1
L 6-3, 6-2, W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Lorenzo Sonego 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 6-3
Luciano Darderi 1-1
W 6-1, 6-1, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-7, 6-3
Miomir Kecmanovic 0-1
L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 6-2
Valentin Royer 1-0
W 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
Valentin Vacherot 1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
Zachary Svajda 1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
Zizou Bergs 2-0
W 7-6, 6-4, W 6-1, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3

Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo: quick answers

Who won Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?

Tommy Paul beat Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-2, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Tommy Paul and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?

Tommy Paul leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Tommy Paul 6-2, 6-2 at China Shangai - Masters.

Who is in better form, Tommy Paul or Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?

Tommy Paul is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Tommy Paul and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?

Tommy Paul is rated 6967 (ATP #7) and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is rated 6857 (ATP #77). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo?

Tommy Paul is priced at -222 and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo at +175, which implies a 69% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Tommy Paul 17 points higher than the odds do (86% vs 69%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.