Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Adithya Karunaratne

WTA Shenzhen (China), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 07:00.

Updated

Daria Khomutsianskaya beat Adithya Karunaratne 3-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Daria Khomutsianskaya leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Khomutsianskaya is 8-2 in their last 10, Karunaratne 5-5.

Result: Daria Khomutsianskaya beat Adithya Karunaratne 3-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Daria Khomutsianskaya a 85% favorite. At -333 the sportsbook implies 77% for Daria Khomutsianskaya, 8 points below the model's 85%.

Model
85%
Book
77%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model
15%
Book
32%

Model minus book: -18 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Daria Khomutsianskaya at -333 · Model track record

Player comparison

Daria KhomutsianskayaAdithya Karunaratne
Tennis Gauge rating66566498
Tour rankWTA #326WTA #551
Last 10 matches8-25-5
Last 30 days9-42-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record52-2239-15
UTR11.3311.41
Elo (52 weeks)1511–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Daria Khomutsianskaya leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Daria Khomutsianskaya3-1China Shenzhen
16.10.2026Daria Khomutsianskaya3-1China Shenzhen

Recent form

Daria Khomutsianskaya, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Wushuang Zheng L2-6, 6-2, 6-4
28.10.2026Zijun Jiang W6-7, 7-5, 6-1
25.10.2026Xinxin Yao W2-6, 6-2, 6-4
24.10.2026Varvara Panshina W2-6, 6-3, 6-4
23.10.2026Jiangxue Han W6-3, 6-1
22.10.2026Meiqi Guo W6-3, 6-3
21.10.2026Tiana Tian Deng W6-2, 7-5
18.10.2026Sijia Wei L6-3, 6-4
17.10.2026Junhan Zhang W7-6, 6-1
16.10.2026Adithya Karunaratne W3-1

Adithya Karunaratne, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Daria Khomutsianskaya L3-1
16.10.2026Daria Khomutsianskaya L3-1
15.10.2026Yanan Hou W7-6, 6-4
14.10.2026Tiana Tian Deng W6-2, 6-2
27.09.2026Sonja Zhiyenbayeva L6-1, 7-5
01.09.2026Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez L6-3, 6-4
31.08.2026Urszula Radwanska W7-5, 7-6
30.08.2026Kolie Allen W6-0, 7-5
02.08.2026Rina Saigo L7-5, 2-6, 6-3
01.08.2026Naiktha Bains W6-3, 3-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentDaria KhomutsianskayaAdithya Karunaratne
Elyse Tse 1-0
W 6-2, 6-4
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Rina Saigo 0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 7-5, 2-6, 6-3
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 0-1
L 6-1, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 7-5
Tiana Tian Deng 1-0
W 6-2, 7-5
1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
Tyra Caterina Grant 1-0
W 6-2, 5-7, 7-5
1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 6-4
Yuliya Hatouka 1-0
W 5-7, 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Shenzhen (China), model gave Daria Khomutsianskaya 85% at -333

Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Adithya Karunaratne: quick answers

Who won Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Adithya Karunaratne?

Daria Khomutsianskaya beat Adithya Karunaratne 3-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Daria Khomutsianskaya and Adithya Karunaratne?

Daria Khomutsianskaya leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Daria Khomutsianskaya 3-1 at China Shenzhen.

Who is in better form, Daria Khomutsianskaya or Adithya Karunaratne?

Daria Khomutsianskaya is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Adithya Karunaratne is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Daria Khomutsianskaya and Adithya Karunaratne?

Daria Khomutsianskaya is rated 6656 (WTA #326) and Adithya Karunaratne is rated 6498 (WTA #551). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Adithya Karunaratne?

Daria Khomutsianskaya is priced at -333 and Adithya Karunaratne at +210, which implies a 77% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Daria Khomutsianskaya 8 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 77%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.