Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic
Updated
Marin Cilic beat Adam Walton 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Marin Cilic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Walton is 4-6 in their last 10, Cilic 2-8.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Marin Cilic a 66% favorite. At -154 the sportsbook implies 61% for Marin Cilic, 6 points below the model's 66%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Marin Cilic at -154 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Adam Walton | Marin Cilic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6798 | 6866 |
| Tour rank | ATP #120 | ATP #66 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 0-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 42-33 | 15-20 |
| UTR | 15.26 | 15.71 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1690 | 1789 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Marin Cilic leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Adam Walton, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Beibit Zhukayev | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 05.10.2026 | Rigele Te | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Moise Kouame | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Alexandr Binda | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 28.09.2026 | Hikaru Shiraishi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Valentin Royer | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.08.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 7-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
Marin Cilic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Zhizhen Zhang | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Adam Walton | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Arthur Fery | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 15.08.2026 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 |
| 05.08.2026 | Frances Tiafoe | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.08.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 29.06.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-1, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.06.2026 | Ugo Humbert | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Adam Walton | Marin Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Daniil Medvedev | 1-0 W 6-2, 1-6, 6-1, 1-6, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-2, 6-4, L 6-2, 3-6, 6-1 |
| Learner Tien | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
1-1 W 7-5, 7-6, L 7-5, 4-6, 10-7 |
| Martin Landaluce | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Moise Kouame | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Zachary Svajda | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Adam Walton 34% at +106
- 2026-10-11: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Adam Walton 35% at +106
Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic: quick answers
Who won Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic?
Marin Cilic beat Adam Walton 6-3, 3-6, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Adam Walton and Marin Cilic?
Marin Cilic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Marin Cilic 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Adam Walton or Marin Cilic?
Adam Walton is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Marin Cilic is 2-8 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Adam Walton and Marin Cilic?
Adam Walton is rated 6798 (ATP #120) and Marin Cilic is rated 6866 (ATP #66). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Adam Walton vs Marin Cilic?
Adam Walton is priced at +106 and Marin Cilic at -154, which implies a 49% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Marin Cilic 6 points higher than the odds do (66% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.