Samir Hamza Reguig vs Adam Lynch

ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Samir Hamza Reguig beat Adam Lynch 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Adam Lynch at 54%. Samir Hamza Reguig leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Reguig is 5-5 in their last 10, Lynch 4-6.

Result: Samir Hamza Reguig beat Adam Lynch 6-3, 4-6, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Adam Lynch.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Adam Lynch a 54% favorite. At +152 the sportsbook implies 40% for Adam Lynch, 15 points below the model's 54%.

Model
46%
Book
68%

Model minus book: -22 pts

Adam Lynch +152
Model
54%
Book
40%

Model minus book: +15 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Adam Lynch at +152 · Model track record

Player comparison

Samir Hamza ReguigAdam Lynch
Tennis Gauge rating63266194
Tour rankATP #1055ATP #1635
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days2-20-0
Current streak2 Losses3 Losses
Season record32-3119-12
UTR13.1113.38

Head to head

Samir Hamza Reguig leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Samir Hamza Reguig6-3, 4-6, 6-3Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Samir Hamza Reguig, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Ugo Blanchet L6-3, 6-1
21.10.2026Simone Massellani L6-3, 5-0
15.10.2026Kaan Isak Kosaner W6-4, 6-4
14.10.2026Adam Lynch W6-3, 4-6, 6-3
01.10.2026Carles Hernandez L6-3, 6-2
30.09.2026Benoit Torcq W6-3, 6-4
24.09.2026Romain Faucon L3-6, 6-4, 7-5
23.09.2026Darsh Sachin Patel W6-0, 6-1
10.09.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend L6-2, 6-1
08.09.2026Emirhan Bulut W6-4, 6-2

Adam Lynch, last 10

DateOpponentScore
14.10.2026Samir Hamza Reguig L6-3, 4-6, 6-3
29.07.2026Carles Hernandez L7-6, 6-2
23.07.2026Reda Bennani L6-2, 7-5
22.07.2026Kevin Edengren W6-2, 6-2
20.07.2026Alvaro De Miguel Montero W6-0, 5-0
19.07.2026Marc Martin Roca W6-4, 6-3
18.07.2026Antonio Zafra W6-2, 6-1
15.07.2026Sergi Fita Juan L6-1, 6-3
07.07.2026Matisse Martin L6-4, 6-4
01.07.2026Paul Inchauspe L6-1, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSamir Hamza ReguigAdam Lynch
Carles Hernandez 0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Samir Hamza Reguig 46% at -213

Samir Hamza Reguig vs Adam Lynch: quick answers

Who won Samir Hamza Reguig vs Adam Lynch?

Samir Hamza Reguig beat Adam Lynch 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Adam Lynch at 54%.

What is the head-to-head record between Samir Hamza Reguig and Adam Lynch?

Samir Hamza Reguig leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Samir Hamza Reguig 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Samir Hamza Reguig or Adam Lynch?

Samir Hamza Reguig is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Adam Lynch is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Samir Hamza Reguig and Adam Lynch?

Samir Hamza Reguig is rated 6326 (ATP #1055) and Adam Lynch is rated 6194 (ATP #1635). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Samir Hamza Reguig vs Adam Lynch?

Samir Hamza Reguig is priced at -213 and Adam Lynch at +152, which implies a 68% and 40% chance to win. The model rates Adam Lynch 15 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 40%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.