Aaron Funk vs Sergey Petrov
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Aaron Funk, giving them a 62% chance to win against Sergey Petrov (38%). Sergey Petrov leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Funk is 6-4 in their last 10, Petrov 6-4. At +116, the odds imply 46% for Aaron Funk, below the model's 62%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Aaron Funk a 62% favorite. At +116 the sportsbook implies 46% for Aaron Funk, 16 points below the model's 62%.
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model minus book: -25 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Aaron Funk at +116 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Aaron Funk | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6243 | 6318 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1400 | ATP #1086 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 42-32 | 32-19 |
| UTR | 13.16 | 12.94 |
Head to head
Sergey Petrov leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | 6-4, 6-4 | Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII |
| 11.09.2026 | Sergey Petrov | 7-5, 6-3 | Egypt Hurghada VIII |
Recent form
Aaron Funk, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Borys Zgola | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | John Bothma | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Sergey Petrov | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Daniel Verbeek | W | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Artur Kukasian | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Artur Kukasian | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tudor Batin | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pijus Vaitiekunas | W | 6-3, 1-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Justas Trainauskas | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Hugo Pierre | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
Sergey Petrov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | David Eichenseher | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Roman Kharlamov | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Oskari Paldanius | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Aaron Funk | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marat Salbiev | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Oskari Paldanius | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Oskari Paldanius | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jorge Plans | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Aaron Funk | Sergey Petrov |
|---|---|---|
| David Eichenseher | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Thijs Boogaard | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Aaron Funk 62% at +116
- 2026-10-26: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Aaron Funk 62% at +116
- 2026-10-25: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Aaron Funk 62% at +116
- 2026-10-24: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Aaron Funk 62% at +116
- 2026-10-23: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Aaron Funk 62% at +116
- 2026-10-22: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Aaron Funk 62% at +116
- 2026-10-21: ATP Sharm El Sheikh XVII (Egypt), model gave Aaron Funk 62% at +116
Aaron Funk vs Sergey Petrov: quick answers
Who will win Aaron Funk vs Sergey Petrov?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Aaron Funk, giving them a 62% chance to win against Sergey Petrov (38%).
What is the head-to-head record between Aaron Funk and Sergey Petrov?
Sergey Petrov leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Sergey Petrov 6-4, 6-4 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII.
Who is in better form, Aaron Funk or Sergey Petrov?
Aaron Funk is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Sergey Petrov is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Aaron Funk and Sergey Petrov?
Aaron Funk is rated 6243 (ATP #1400) and Sergey Petrov is rated 6318 (ATP #1086). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Aaron Funk vs Sergey Petrov?
Aaron Funk is priced at +116 and Sergey Petrov at -169, which implies a 46% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Aaron Funk 16 points higher than the odds do (62% vs 46%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.